I'll say 11-5. We make the playoffs as a wild card and win our first game but lose in the second round to the Panthers. Goff has ups and downs but has an overall good rookie year. Gurley is great. Austin and Britt produce much more with a competent QB. The OL plays at an above average to good level. And the defense is top 10 caliber again. Zuerlein has a bounce back year since Fisher doesn't ask him to attempt nothing but long FGs.
Frankly, looking at our schedule, it doesn't seem that bad. We play 4 tough division games against Seattle and Arizona but we tend to give those two teams hell. We also play 2 tough games against New England and Carolina. Beyond that, we play a lot of middle of the pack type teams.
Look at it this way, we play like 8 games against teams that should be in the 6-10 win range. 6 games against teams that should be in the 10-14 win range.(4 of those against teams we went 3-1 against last year) And 2 games against a team that should be in the 3-6 win range.
If we split the 8 games (4-4), go 3-1 against those 4 again and lose the other 2 tough ones, and win the 2 easy ones, that puts us at 9-7. If we manage to go 5-3 against middle of the pack teams, we're at 10-6. If we manage to win 1 of the 2 tough ones or go 6-2 against the middle of the pack teams, we're at 11-5.
Could we do worse? Sure. Especially if we have the Fisher let down games. But I'm a homer so I'm going to be optimistic. Plus, I think Goff is a better player than he's given credit for by many of the media and I know we still have a top 10 running game and defense.